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    The relationship between tourism and trade in south africa

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    Date
    2010
    Author
    Fry, Denise
    Saayman, Andrea
    Saayman, Melville
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    Abstract
    This article explores the relationship between tourist arrivals and trade in South Africa. Two analyses were conducted – a panel data analysis, which included tourism and trade data of 40 countries with South Africa, and a time-series analysis that involved South Africa's main tourism and trade partners. Cointegration tests, Granger causality and Block exogeneity tests were used to investigate the nature of the relationship. The results of the panel data analysis show that for South Africa as a whole, there is indeed a long-term relationship between tourist arrivals and trade, and that bidirectional causality exists. The results for the country case studies are mixed, although the evidence is stronger for the hypothesis that tourism causes trade.
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10394/5819
    http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1813-6982.2010.01245.x
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    • Faculty of Economic and Management Sciences [1428]

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