Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-15491-2018 © Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability in continental South Africa and implications for air quality Tracey Leah Laban1, Pieter Gideon van Zyl1, Johan Paul Beukes1, Ville Vakkari2, Kerneels Jaars1, Nadine Borduas-Dedekind3, Miroslav Josipovic1, Anne Mee Thompson4, Markku Kulmala5, and Lauri Laakso2 1Unit for Environmental Sciences and Management, North-West University, Potchefstroom, South Africa 2Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland 3Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland 4NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA 5Department of Physics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland Correspondence: Pieter Gideon van Zyl (pieter.vanzyl@nwu.ac.za) Received: 1 December 2017 – Discussion started: 19 January 2018 Revised: 11 May 2018 – Accepted: 16 October 2018 – Published: 29 October 2018 Abstract. Although elevated surface ozone (O3) concentra- tions are observed in many areas within southern Africa, few studies have investigated the regional atmospheric chemistry and dominant atmospheric processes driving surface O3 for- mation in this region. Therefore, an assessment of compre- hensive continuous surface O3 measurements performed at four sites in continental South Africa was conducted. The re- gional O3 problem was evident, with O3 concentrations reg- ularly exceeding the South African air quality standard limit, while O3 levels were higher compared to other background sites in the Southern Hemisphere. The temporal O3 patterns observed at the four sites resembled typical trends for O3 in continental South Africa, with O3 concentrations peak- ing in late winter and early spring. Increased O3 concentra- tions in winter were indicative of increased emissions of O3 precursors from household combustion and other low-level sources, while a spring maximum observed at all the sites was attributed to increased regional biomass burning. Source area maps of O3 and CO indicated significantly higher O3 and CO concentrations associated with air masses passing over a region with increased seasonal open biomass burning, which indicated CO associated with open biomass burning as a major source of O3 in continental South Africa. A strong correlation between O3 on CO was observed, while O3 lev- els remained relatively constant or decreased with increasing NOx , which supports a VOC-limited regime. The instanta- neous production rate of O3 calculated at Welgegund indi- cated that ∼ 40 % of O3 production occurred in the VOC- limited regime. The relationship between O3 and precursor species suggests that continental South Africa can be consid- ered VOC limited, which can be attributed to high anthro- pogenic emissions of NOx in the interior of South Africa. The study indicated that the most effective emission con- trol strategy to reduce O3 levels in continental South Africa should be CO and VOC reduction, mainly associated with household combustion and regional open biomass burning. 1 Introduction High surface O3 concentrations are a serious environmental concern due to their detrimental impacts on human health, crops and vegetation (NRC, 1991). Photochemical smog, comprising O3 as a constituent together with other atmo- spheric oxidants, is a major air quality concern on urban and regional scales. Tropospheric O3 is also a greenhouse gas that directly contributes to global warming (IPCC, 2013). Tropospheric O3 concentrations are regulated by three processes, i.e. chemical production–destruction, atmospheric transport, and losses to the surface through dry deposition (Monks et al., 2015). The photolysis of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) in the presence of sunlight is the only known way of producing O3 in the troposphere (Logan, 1985). O3 can recombine with nitric oxide (NO) to regenerate NO2, which will again undergo photolysis to regenerate O3 and NO. This continuous process is known as the NOx-dependent photo- Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union. 15492 T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability stationary state (PSS) and results in no net production or con- sumption of ozone (null cycle). However, net production of O3 in the troposphere occurs outside the PSS when peroxy radicals (HO2 and RO2) alter the PSS by oxidizing NO to produce “new” NO2 (Cazorla and Brune, 2010), resulting in net O3 production. The main source of these peroxy radi- cals in the atmosphere is the reaction of the hydroxyl radical (OH•) with volatile organic compounds (VOCs) or carbon monoxide (CO) (Cazorla and Brune, 2010). O3 precursor species can be emitted from natural and an- thropogenic sources. Fossil fuel combustion is considered to be the main source of NOx in South Africa, which includes coal-fired power generation, petrochemical operations, trans- portation, and residential burning (Wells et al., 1996; Held et al., 1996). Satellite observations indicate a well-known NO2 hotspot over the South African Highveld (Lourens et al., 2012) attributed to industrial activity in the region. CO is pro- duced from three major sources, i.e. fossil fuel combustion, biomass burning, and the oxidation of methane (CH4) and VOCs (Novelli et al., 1992). Anthropogenic sources of VOCs are largely due to industrial and vehicular emissions (Jaars et al., 2014), while biogenic VOCs are also naturally emit- ted (Jaars et al., 2016). Regional biomass burning, which in- cludes household combustion for space heating and cooking, agricultural waste burning, and open biomass burning (wild fires), is a significant source of CO, NOx , and VOCs (Mac- donald et al., 2011; Crutzen and Andreae, 1990; Galanter et al., 2000; Simpson et al., 2011) in southern Africa. In addi- tion, stratospheric intrusions of O3-rich air to the free tropo- sphere can also lead to elevated tropospheric O3 concentra- tions (Diab et al., 1996, 2004). O3 production from natural precursor sources, the long-range transport of O3, and the in- jections from stratospheric O3 contribute to background O3 levels, which is beyond the control of regulators (Lin et al., 2012). Since O3 concentrations are regulated in South Africa, O3 monitoring is carried out across South Africa through a net- work of air quality monitoring stations established mainly by provincial governments, local municipalities, and industries (http://www.saaqis.org.za, last access: 30 November 2017). High O3 concentrations are observed in many areas within the interior of South Africa, which exceed the South African standard O3 limit, i.e. an 8 h moving average of 61 ppb (e.g. Laakso et al., 2013). These exceedances can be attributed to high anthropogenic emissions of NOx and VOCs in dense ur- ban and industrial areas (Jaars et al., 2014), regional biomass burning (Lourens et al., 2011), and O3-conducive meteoro- logical conditions (e.g. sunlight). Since O3 is a secondary pollutant, high levels of O3 can also be found in rural areas downwind of city centres and industrial areas. In order for South Africa to develop an effective management plan to re- duce O3 concentrations by controlling NOx and VOC emis- sions, it is important to determine whether a region is NOx or VOC limited. However, O3 production has a complex and non-linear dependence on precursor emissions (e.g. NRC, 1991), which makes its atmospheric levels difficult to con- trol (Holloway and Wayne, 2010). Under VOC-limited con- ditions, O3 concentrations increase with increasing VOCs, while a region is considered NOx limited when O3 produc- tion increases with increasing NOx concentrations. Results from a photochemical box model study in South Africa, for instance, revealed that the Johannesburg–Pretoria megacity is within a VOC-limited regime (Lourens et al., 2016). VOC reductions would, therefore, be most effective in reducing O3, while NOx controls without VOC controls may lead to O3 increases. In general, it is considered that O3 formations in regions close to anthropogenic sources are VOC limited, while rural areas distant from source regions are NOx limited (Sillman, 1999). Previous assessments of tropospheric O3 over continen- tal South Africa have focused on surface O3 (Venter et al., 2012; Laakso et al., 2012; Lourens et al., 2011; Josipovic et al., 2010; Zunckel et al., 2004), as well as free tropospheric O3 based on soundings and aircraft observations (Diab et al., 1996, 2004; Thompson, 1996; Swap et al., 2003). Two ma- jor field campaigns (SAFARI-92 and SAFARI 2000) were conducted to improve the understanding of the effects of regional biomass burning emissions on O3 over southern Africa. These studies indicated a late winter–early spring (August and September) maximum over the region that was mainly attributed to increased regional open biomass burning during this period, while Lourens et al. (2011) also attributed higher O3 concentrations in spring in the Mpumalanga High- veld to increased regional open biomass burning. A more re- cent study demonstrated that NOx strongly affects O3 lev- els in the Highveld, especially in winter and spring (Bal- ashov et al., 2014). A regional photochemical modelling study (Zunckel et al., 2006) has attempted to explain sur- face O3 variability, which found no dominant source(s) of elevated O3 levels. The aim of the current study is to provide an up-to-date as- sessment of the seasonal and diurnal variations in surface O3 concentrations over continental South Africa, as well as to identify local and regional sources of precursors contributing to surface O3. Another objective is to use available ambient data to qualitatively assess whether O3 formation is NOx or VOC limited in different environments. An understanding of the key precursors that control surface O3 production is crit- ical for the development of an effective O3 control strategy. 2 Methodology 2.1 Study area and measurement stations Continuous in situ O3 measurements obtained from four re- search stations in the north-eastern interior of South Africa, indicated in Fig. 1, which include Botsalano (25.54◦ S, 25.75◦ E, 1420 m a.s.l.), Marikana (25.70◦ S, 27.48◦ E, 1170 m a.s.l.), Welgegund (26.57◦ S, 26.94◦ E, 1480 m a.s.l.), Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability 15493 Figure 1. Location of the four measurement sites in South Africa. and Elandsfontein (26.25◦ S, 29.42◦ E, 1750 m a.s.l.), were analysed. This region is the largest industrial (indicated by major point sources in Fig. 1) area in South Africa, with substantial gaseous and particulate emissions from numer- ous industries, domestic fuel burning, and vehicles (Lourens et al., 2012, 2011), while the Johannesburg–Pretoria megac- ity is also located in this area (Fig. 1). A combination of me- teorology and anthropogenic activities has amplified the pol- lution levels within the region. The seasons in South Africa correspond to typical austral seasons, i.e. winter from June to August, spring from September to November, summer from December to February and autumn from March to May. The climate is semi-arid with an annual average precipitation of approximately 400 to 500 mm (Klopper et al., 2006; Dyson et al., 2015), although there is considerable inter-annual variability associated with the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon. Precipitation in the north-eastern in- terior occurs mostly during the austral summer, from Octo- ber to March, whereas the region is characterized by a dis- tinct cold and dry season from May to September, i.e. late autumn to mid-spring, during which almost no precipitation occurs. During this period, the formation of several inversion layers is present in the region, which limits the vertical di- lution of air pollution, while more pronounced anticyclonic recirculation of air masses also occurs. This synoptic-scale meteorological environment leads to an accumulation of pol- lutants in the lower troposphere in this region, which can be transported for several days (Tyson and Preston-Whyte, 2000; Garstang et al., 1996). The SAFARI-92 and SAFARI 2000 campaigns indicated that locations in southern Africa, thousands of kilometres apart, are linked through regional anticyclonic circulation (Swap et al., 2003). 2.1.1 Botsalano The Botsalano measurement site is situated in a game re- serve in the North West Province of South Africa, which is considered to be representative of regional background air. The surrounding vegetation is typical of a savannah biome, consisting of grasslands with scattered shrubs and trees (Laakso et al., 2008). The area is quite sparsely populated and has no local anthropogenic pollution sources (Laakso et al., 2008; Vakkari et al., 2013). The western Bushveld Igneous Complex, where numerous platinum, base metal, vanadium, and chromium mining–smelting industries are sit- uated, is the largest regional anthropogenic pollution source, with the Rustenburg area located approximately 150 km to the east. Botsalano is also occasionally impacted by plumes passing over the industrialized Mpumalanga Highveld and the Johannesburg–Pretoria megacity (Laakso et al., 2008; Vakkari et al., 2011). In addition, the site is influenced by seasonal regional savannah wildfires during the dry period (Laakso et al., 2008; Vakkari et al., 2011; Mafusire et al., 2016). Measurements were conducted from 20 July 2006 un- til 5 February 2008 (Laakso et al., 2008; Vakkari et al., 2011, 2013). 2.1.2 Marikana The Marikana measurement site is located within the west- ern Bushveld Igneous Complex, which is a densely populated and highly industrialized region, where mining and smelting are the predominant industrial activities. Marikana is a small mining town located approximately 30 km east of Rusten- burg and approximately 100 km north-west of Johannesburg. The measurement site is located in the midst of a residential area, comprising low-cost housing settlements and municipal buildings (Hirsikko et al., 2012; Venter et al., 2012). Anthro- www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 15494 T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability pogenic emissions from household combustion, traffic, and industry in the wider region have a strong influence on the measurement site (Venter et al., 2012). Data were collected from 8 February 2008 to 16 May 2010 and have been pre- viously used in other studies (Venter et al., 2012; Vakkari et al., 2013; Petäjä et al., 2013; Hirsikko et al., 2012, 2013). 2.1.3 Welgegund This measurement site is approximately 100 km west of Jo- hannesburg and is located on a commercial arable and pas- toral farm. The station is surrounded by grassland savan- nah (Jaars et al., 2016). The station can be considered a re- gionally representative background site with few local an- thropogenic sources. Air masses arriving at Welgegund from the west reflect a relatively clean regional background. How- ever, the site is, similar to the Botsalano station, at times im- pacted by polluted air masses that are advected over major anthropogenic source regions in the interior of South Africa, which include the western Bushveld Igneous Complex, the Johannesburg–Pretoria megacity, the Mpumalanga Highveld, and the Vaal Triangle (Tiitta et al., 2014; Jaars et al., 2016; Venter et al., 2017). In addition, Welgegund is also affected by regional savannah and grassland fires that are common in the dry season (Vakkari et al., 2014). The atmospheric measurement station has been operating at Welgegund since 20 May 2010, with data measured up until 31 December 2015 utilized in this study. 2.1.4 Elandsfontein Elandsfontein is an ambient air quality monitoring station operated by Eskom, the national electricity supply company, primarily for legislative compliance purposes. This station was upgraded and co-managed by researchers during the EU- CAARI project (Laakso et al., 2012). The Elandsfontein sta- tion is located within the industrialized Mpumalanga High- veld at the top of a hill approximately 200 km east of Jo- hannesburg and 45 km south-south-east of eMalahleni (pre- viously known as Witbank), which is a coal mining area (Laakso et al., 2012). The site is influenced by several emis- sion sources, such as coal mines, coal-fired power-generating stations, a large petrochemical plant, and traffic emissions. Metallurgical smelters to the north also frequently impact the site (Laakso et al., 2012). The Elandsfontein dataset covers the period 11 February 2009 until 31 December 2010 during the EUCAARI campaign (Laakso et al., 2012). 2.2 Measurements A comprehensive dataset of continuous measurements of surface aerosols, trace gases, and meteorological parame- ters has been acquired through these four measurement sites (Laakso et al., 2008, 2012; Vakkari et al., 2011, 2013; Ven- ter et al., 2012; Petäjä et al., 2013). In particular, measure- ments of ozone (O3), nitric oxide (NO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and carbon monoxide (CO), as well as meteorolog- ical parameters, such as temperature (◦C) and relative hu- midity (RH, %), were used in this study. Note that Botsalano, Marikana, and Welgegund measurements were obtained with the same mobile station (first located at Botsalano, then relo- cated to Marikana and thereafter permanently positioned at Welgegund), while Elandsfontein measurements were con- ducted with a routine monitoring station. O3 concentrations at Welgegund, Botsalano, and Marikana research stations were measured using the Environment SA 41M O3 analyser, while a Monitor Europe ML9810B O3 analyser was utilized at Elandsfontein. CO concentrations were determined at Wel- gegund, Botsalano, and Marikana with a Horiba APMA-360 analyser, while CO was not measured at Elandsfontein. NOx (NO+NO2) concentrations were determined with a Tele- dyne 200AU NO/NOx analyser at Welgegund, Botsalano and Marikana, whereas a Thermo Electron 42i NO-NO2- NOx analyser was used at Elandsfontein. Temperature and RH were measured with a Rotronic MP 101A instrument at all the sites. Data quality at these four measurement sites was en- sured through regular visits to the sites, during which in- strument maintenance and calibrations were performed. The data collected from these four stations were subjected to de- tailed cleaning (e.g. excluding measurements recorded dur- ing power interruptions, electronic malfunctions, calibra- tions, and maintenance) and the verification of data qual- ity procedures (e.g. corrections were made to data accord- ing to in situ calibrations and flow checks). Therefore, the datasets collected at all four measurement sites are consid- ered to represent high-quality, high-resolution measurements as indicated by other papers (Laakso et al., 2008, 2012; Petäjä et al., 2013; Venter et al., 2012; 2011; Vakkari et al., 2013). Detailed descriptions of the data post-processing pro- cedures were presented by Laakso et al. (2008) and Venter et al. (2012). The data were available as 15 min averages and all plots using local time (LT) refer to local South African time, which is UTC+ 2. In order to obtain a representative spatial coverage of con- tinental South Africa, O3 data from an additional 54 ambi- ent monitoring sites were selected. These included O3 mea- surements from 18 routine monitoring station measurements (SAAQIS) for the period from January 2012 to December 2014 (downloaded from the JOIN web interface https://join. fz-juelich.de, last access: 15 July 2017; Schultz et al., 2017) and 36 passive sampling sites located in the north-eastern in- terior of South Africa where monthly O3 concentrations were determined for 2 years from 2006 to 2007 (Josipovic, 2009). Spatial analyses were conducted with a geographic informa- tion system mapping tool (ArcGIS software), which used ordinary kriging to interpolate the O3 concentrations mea- sured at the 58 sites in order to build the spatial distribution. The interpolation method involved making an 80/20 % split of the data (80 % for model development, 20 % for evalua- tion), in which 20 % was used to calculate the root-mean- Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability 15495 square error (RMSE= 0.2804331). Optimal model parame- ters were selected using an iterative process and evaluated on the basis of the best performance statistics obtained (re- ported in the ArcGIS kriging output), with particular em- phasis on minimizing the RMSE. The extent of area was 23.00154974 (top), −29.03070026 (bottom), 25.74238974 (left), and 32.85246366 (right). 2.3 Air mass history Individual hourly 4-day back trajectories for air masses arriv- ing at an arrival height of 100 m above ground level were cal- culated for the entire measurement period at each monitoring site, using HYSPLIT 4.8 (Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory model) (Stein et al., 2015; Draxler and Hess, 1998). The model was run with the GDAS meteorolog- ical archive produced by the US National Weather Service’s National Centre for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and archived by ARL (Air Resources Laboratory, 2017). Over- lay back trajectory maps were generated by superimposing individual back trajectories onto a southern African map di- vided into 0.5◦× 0.5◦ grid cells. In addition, source maps were compiled by assigning each grid cell with a mean mea- sured O3 and CO concentration associated with trajectories passing over that cell, similar to previous methods (Vakkari et al., 2011, 2013; Tiitta et al., 2014). A minimum of 10 tra- jectories per cell were required for the statistical reliability. 2.4 Modelling instantaneous production rate of O3 The only speciated VOC dataset available and published in South Africa exists for Welgegund (Jaars et al., 2016, 2014), which could be used to model instantaneous O3 production at this site. The concentration of these biogenic and anthro- pogenic VOCs was obtained from grab samples taken be- tween 11:00 and 13:00 LT over the course of two extensive field campaigns conducted from February 2011 to February 2012 and from December 2013 to February 2015. During this time, six trace gases, 19 biogenic VOCs, and 20 anthro- pogenic VOCs, including 13 aromatic and seven aliphatic compounds were measured. The VOC reactivity was calcu- lated from the respective rate coefficients of each VOC with •OH radicals obtained from chemical kinetic databases such as JPL, NIST, and the MCM (e.g. Jaars et al., 2014) to es- timate ozone production at 11:00 LT at Welgegund. Specif- ically, each VOC reactivity was then summed to obtain the total VOC reactivity for each measurement, i.e. VOC reac- tivity=∑k1i[VOC]I . The major contributors to VOC re- activity are depicted in Fig. A1 and include, in approx- imate order of contribution, o-xylene, CO, styrene, p,m- xylene, toluene, ethylbenzene limonene, isoprene, α-pinene, β-pinene, and hexane. Of note, key compounds such as methane are not included, which could contribute to VOC reactivity, and therefore this VOC reactivity can only be a lower estimate. However, if a global ambient concentra- tion of 1.85 ppm and a rate of oxidation by •OH radicals of 6.68×10−15 cm3 molec−1 s−1 are assumed (Srinivasan et al., 2005), a VOC reactivity of 0.3 s−1 would be obtained and would therefore account for a small increase in the VOC re- activity calculated in Figs. A1 and 10. A mathematical box model was applied to model O3 pro- duction as a function of VOC reactivity and NO2 concentra- tions. This model involves three steps, i.e. (1) the estimation of HOx (sum of •OH and HO•2 radicals) production, (2) the estimation of the •OH radical concentration, and (3) the cal- culation for O3 production (Murphy et al., 2006; Geddes et al., 2009). The VOC concentrations are the limiting factor in the ability to model O3 production at Welgegund since only data for the 11:00 to 13:00 LT grab samples were available (Fig. A1). Therefore, the model approach does not coincide with peak O3 typically observed around 14:00 to 15:00 LT and therefore likely represents a lower estimate. The production rate of HOx (P (HOx)) depends on the photolysis rate of O3 (JO3 ), concentration of O3, and vapour pressure of water (Jaeglé et al., 2001). The photolysis rate proposed for the Southern Hemisphere, i.e. JO3 = 3× 10−5 s−1 (Wilson, 2015), was used, from which P (HOx) was calculated as follows: P (HOx)= 2JO3kO3 [O3] [H2O], and estimated to be 6.09× 106 molec cm−3 s−1 or 0.89 ppbv h−1 (calculated for a campaign O3 average of 41 ppbv and a campaign RH average of 42 % at 11:00 LT each day) at STP. The P (HOx) at Welgegund is approx- imately a factor of 2 lower compared to other reported urban P (HOx) values (Geddes et al., 2009). The factors and reactions that affect [•OH] include – linear dependency between •OH and NOx due to the reaction NO+HO2→ •OH+NO2, until •OH begins to react with elevated NO2 concentrations to form HNO3 (OH+NO2+M→ HNO3+M); – P (HOx) affected by solar irradiance, temperature, O3 concentrations, and humidity; and – partitioning of HOx among RO2, HO2, and OH. [•OH] was calculated at 11:00 LT each day as follows: A= k5eff ( VOCreactivity k2eff[NO] )2 B = k4 [NO2]+α×VOCreactivity C = P(HOx) [OH]= −B + √ B2+ 24C×A 12×A . The instantaneous production rate of O3, P (O3), could then be calculated as a function of NO2 levels and VOC reactivity. A set of reactions used to derive the equations that describe www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 15496 T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability Figure 2. Seasonal and diurnal variation in median O3 concentrations at Welgegund, Botsalano, Marikana, and Elandsfontein. The O3 measurement periods varied among sites, which combined spanned a period from July 2006 to December 2015. the dependence of the •OH, peroxy radicals (HO•2+RO•2), and P (O3) on NOx is given by Murphy et al. (2006), which presents the following equation to calculate P (O3): P (O3)= k2eff [HO2+RO2] [NO] = 2×VOC Reactivity×[OH], where k2eff is the effective rate constant of NO oxidation by peroxy radicals (chain propagation and termination reactions in the production of O3). The values of the rate constants and other parameters used as input parameters to solve the equation above can be found in Murphy et al. (2006) and Geddes et al. (2009). 3 Results and discussion 3.1 Temporal variation in O3 In Fig. 2, the monthly and diurnal variations for O3 concen- trations measured at the four sites in this study are presented (time series plotted in Fig. A2). Although there is some vari- ability among the sites, monthly O3 concentrations show a well-defined seasonal variation at all four sites, with maxi- mum concentrations occurring in late winter and spring (Au- gust to November), which is expected for the South African interior as indicated above and previously reported (Zunckel et al., 2004; Diab et al., 2004). In Fig. A3 monthly averages of meteorological parameters and total monthly rainfall for Welgegund are presented to indicate typical seasonal mete- orological patterns for continental South Africa. These O3 peaks in continental South Africa generally point to two ma- jor contributors of O3 precursors, i.e. open biomass burning (wild fires) (Vakkari et al., 2014) and increased low-level an- thropogenic emissions, e.g. increased household combustion for space heating and cooking (Oltmans et al., 2013; Lourens et al., 2011). In addition to the seasonal patterns of O3 pre- cursor species, during the dry winter months, synoptic-scale recirculation is more predominant and inversion layers are more pronounced, while precipitation is minimal (e.g. Tyson and Preston-Whyte, 2000). These changes in meteorology re- sult in the build-up of precursor species that reach a max- imum in August–September when photochemical activity starts to increase. The diurnal concentration profiles of O3 at the four locations follow the typical photochemical cy- cle, i.e. increasing during daytime in response to maximum photochemical production and decreasing during the night- time due to titration with NO. O3 levels peaked from mid- day to afternoon, with a maximum at approximately 15:00 (LT, UTC+ 2). From Fig. 2, it is also evident that night-time titration of O3 at Marikana is more pronounced, as indicated by the largest difference between daytime and night-time O3 concentrations in comparison to the other sites, especially compared to Elandsfontein where night-time concentrations of O3 remain relatively high in winter. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability 15497 Figure 3. The main (central) map indicating spatial distribution of mean surface O3 levels during springtime over the north-eastern interior of southern Africa ranging between 23.00 and 29.03◦ S and between 25.74 and 32.85◦ E. The data for all sites were averaged for years when the ENSO cycle was not present (by examining sea surface temperature anomalies in the Niño 3.4 region). Black dots indicate the sampling sites. The smaller maps (top and bottom) indicate 96 h overlay back trajectory maps for the four main study sites, over the corresponding springtime periods. 3.2 Spatial distribution of O3 in continental South Africa Figure 3 depicts the spatial pattern of mean surface O3 con- centrations over continental South Africa during springtime (September–October–November), when O3 is usually at a maximum, as indicated above. Also presented in Fig. 3, are 96 h overlay back trajectory maps for the four main study sites over the corresponding springtime periods. The mean O3 concentration over continental South Africa ranged from 20 to 60 ppb during spring. From Fig. 3, it can be seen that O3 concentrations at the industrial sites Marikana and Elands- fontein were higher than O3 levels at Botsalano and Wel- gegund. As mentioned previously, Elandsfontein is located www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 15498 T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability Figure 4. Seasonal cycle of O3 at rural sites in other parts of the world. The dots indicate monthly median (50th percentile) and the upper and lower limits the 25th and 75th percentiles, respectively, for monthly O3 concentrations. The data are averaged from May 2010 to December 2014, except in a few instances in which 2014 data were not available. within the industrialized Mpumalanga Highveld with numer- ous large point sources of O3 precursor species. It is also evi- dent from Fig. 3 that rural measurement sites downwind from Elandsfontein, such as Amersfoort, Harrismith, and Glück- stadt had significantly higher O3 concentrations, which can be attributed to the formation of O3 during the transport of precursor species from source regions. Lourens et al. (2011) indicated that higher O3 concentrations were associated with sites positioned in more rural areas in the Mpumalanga High- veld. Venter et al. (2012) attributed high O3 concentrations at Marikana, which exceeded South African standard limits on a number of occasions, to the influence of local house- hold combustion for cooking and space heating, as well as to regional air masses with high O3 precursor concentrations. Higher O3 concentrations were also measured in the north- western parts of Gauteng, at sites situated within close prox- imity to the Johannesburg–Pretoria megacity, while the rural Vaalwater site in the north also has significantly higher O3 levels. From Fig. 3, it is evident that O3 can be considered a regional problem, with O3 concentrations being relatively high across continental South Africa during spring. Figure 3 also clearly indicates that the four research sites where sur- face O3 was assessed in this study are representative of con- tinental South Africa. 3.3 Comparison with international sites In an effort to contextualize the O3 levels measured in this study, the monthly O3 concentrations measured at Welge- gund were compared to monthly O3 levels measured at mon- itoring sites in other parts of the world (downloaded from the JOIN web interface https://join.fz-juelich.de; Schultz et al., 2017) as indicated in Fig. 4. Welgegund was used in the comparison since it had the most extensive data record, while the measurement time period considered was from May 2010 to December 2014. The seasonal O3 cycles observed at other sites in the Southern Hemisphere are comparable to the sea- sonal cycle at Welgegund, with slight variations in the time of year when O3 peaks, as indicated in Fig. 4. Cape Grim, Australia; GoAmazon T3 Manancapuru, Brazil; Ushuaia, Ar- gentina; and Cerro Tololo, Chile, are regional background GAW (Global Atmosphere Watch) stations with O3 levels lower than the South African sites. However, the O3 con- centrations at Cerro Tololo, Chile, are comparable to Wel- gegund. Oakdale, Australia, and Mutdapilly, Australia, are semi-rural and rural locations, which are influenced by ur- ban and industrial pollution sources and also had lower O3 concentrations compared to Welgegund. The northern hemispheric O3 peak over mid-latitude re- gions is similar to seasonal patterns in the Southern Hemi- sphere where a springtime O3 maximum is observed (i.e. Whiteface Mountain Summit, Beltsville, Ispra, Ryori, and Seokmo-Ri Ga). However, there are other sites in the North- ern Hemisphere where a summer maximum is more evident (Vingarzan, 2004), i.e. Joshua Tree and Hohenpeissenberg. The discernible difference between the hemispheres is that the spring maximum in the Southern Hemisphere refers to maximum O3 concentrations in late winter and early spring, while in the Northern Hemisphere, it refers to a late spring and early summer O3 maximum (Cooper et al., 2014). The spring maximum in the Northern Hemisphere is associated with stratospheric intrusions (Zhang et al., 2014; Parrish et al., 2013), while the summer maximum is associated with photochemical O3 production from anthropogenic emissions of O3 precursors being at its highest (Logan, 1985; Cheva- lier et al., 2007). Maximum O3 concentrations at background Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability 15499 sites in the United States and Europe are similar to values at Welgegund in spring with the exception of Joshua Tree National Park in the United States, which had significantly higher O3 levels. This is most likely due its high elevation and deep boundary layer (∼ 4 km a.s.l.) during spring and summer allowing free-tropospheric O3 to be more effectively mixed down to the surface (Cooper et al., 2014). Maximum O3 levels at the two sites in East Asia (Ryori and Seokmo-Ri Ga) were also generally higher than at Welgegund, especially at Seokmo-Ri Ga. 3.4 Sources contributing to surface O3 in continental South Africa As indicated above (Sect. 3.1), the O3 peaks in continental South Africa usually reflect increased concentrations of pre- cursor species from anthropogenic sources during winter, as well as the occurrence of regional open biomass burning in late winter and early spring. In addition, stratospheric O3 in- trusions during spring (Lefohn et al., 2014) could also par- tially contribute to increased surface O3 levels. 3.4.1 Anthropogenic and open biomass burning emissions A comparison of the O3 seasonal cycles at background and polluted locations is useful for source attribution. From Fig. 2, it is evident that daytime O3 levels peaked at Elands- fontein, Marikana and Welgegund during late winter and spring (August to October), while O3 levels at Botsalano peaked later in the year during spring (September to Novem- ber). This suggests that Elandsfontein, Marikana and Wel- gegund were influenced by increased levels of O3 precur- sors from anthropogenic and open biomass burning emis- sions (i.e. NOx and CO indicated in Figs. A4 and A5, re- spectively – time series plotted in Figs. A7 and A8), while O3 levels at Botsalano were predominantly influenced by re- gional open biomass burning (Fig. A5). Although Welgegund and Botsalano are both background sites, Botsalano is more removed from anthropogenic source regions than Welgegund is (Sect. 2.1.3), which is therefore not directly influenced by the increased concentrations of O3 precursor species asso- ciated with anthropogenic emissions during winter. Daytime O3 concentrations were the highest at Marikana throughout most of the year, which indicates the influence of local and regional sources of O3 precursors at this site (Venter et al., 2012). In addition, a larger difference between O3 concentra- tions in summer and winter–spring is observed at Marikana compared to Welgegund and Botsalano, which can be at- tributed to local anthropogenic emissions (mainly household combustion) of O3 precursors at Marikana. O3 concentrations at Elandsfontein were lower compared to the other three sites throughout the year, with the ex- ception of the winter months (June to August). The ma- jor point sources at Elandsfontein include NOx emissions from coal-fired power stations and are characterized by high- stack emissions, which are emitted above the low-level night- time inversion layers. During daytime, downwards mixing of these emitted species occurs, which results in daytime peaks of NOx (as indicated in Fig. A4 and by Collett et al., 2010) and subsequent O3 titration. In contrast, Venter et al. (2012) indicated that, at Marikana, low-level emissions associated with household combustion for space heating and cooking were a significant source of O3 precursor species, i.e. NOx and CO. The diurnal pattern of NOx and CO (Figs. A4 and A5, respectively) at Marikana was characterized by bimodal peaks during the morning and evening, which resulted in increased O3 concentrations during daytime and night-time titration of O3, especially during winter. Therefore, the ob- served differences in night-time titration at Marikana and Elandsfontein can be attributed to different sources of O3 precursors, i.e. mainly low-level emissions (household com- bustion) at Marikana (Venter et al., 2012) compared to pre- dominantly high-stack emissions at Elandsfontein (Collett et al., 2010). The higher O3 concentrations at Elandsfontein during winter are most likely attributed to the regional in- crease in O3 precursors. The spring maximum O3 concentrations can be attributed to increases in widespread regional biomass burning in this region during this period (Vakkari et al., 2014; Lourens et al., 2011). Biomass burning has strong seasonality in south- ern Africa, extending from June to September (Galanter et al., 2000), and is an important source of O3 and its precur- sors during the dry season. In an effort to elucidate the in- fluence of regional biomass burning on O3 concentrations in continental South Africa, source area maps of O3 were compiled by relating O3 concentrations measured with air mass history, which are presented in Fig. 5a. Source area maps were only generated for the background sites Welge- gund and Botsalano since local sources at the industrial sites Elandsfontein and Marikana would obscure the influence of regional biomass burning. In addition, maps of spatial distri- bution of fires during 2007, 2010, and 2015 were compiled with the MODIS Collection 5 burnt area product (Roy et al., 2008, 2005, 2002) and are presented in Fig. 6. The highest O3 concentrations measured at Welgegund and Marikana were associated with air masses passing over a sector north to north-east of these sites, i.e. southern and central Mozambique, southern Zimbabwe, and south-eastern Botswana. O3 concentrations associated with air masses passing over central and southern Mozambique were partic- ularly high. In addition to O3 source maps, CO source maps were also compiled for Welgegund and Botsalano, as indi- cated in Fig. 5b. It is evident that the CO source maps in- dicated a similar pattern to that observed for O3, with the highest CO concentrations corresponding with the same re- gions where O3 levels are the highest. From the fire maps in Fig. 6, it can be observed that a large number of fires occur in the sector, associated with higher O3 and CO concentra- tions, with the fire map indicating, in particular, a high fire www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 15500 T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability Figure 5. Source area maps of (a) O3 concentrations and (b) CO concentrations for the background sites Welgegund and Botsalano. The black star represents the measurement site and the colour of each pixel represents the mean concentration of the respective gas species. At least 10 observations per pixel are required. Figure 6. Spatial distribution of fires in 2007, 2010, and 2015 from the MODIS burnt area product. Blue stars indicate (from left to right) Botsalano, Welgegund, Marikana, and Elandsfontein. frequency occurring in central Mozambique. During 2007, more fires occurred in Botswana compared to the other two years, which is also reflected in the higher O3 levels mea- sured at Botsalano during that year for air masses passing over this region. Open biomass burning is known to emit more CO than NOx , while CO also has a relatively long at- mospheric lifetime (1 to 2 months; Kanakidou and Crutzen, 1999) compared to NOx (6 to 24 h, Beirle et al., 2003) and VOCs (a few hours to a few weeks; Kanakidou and Crutzen, 1999) emitted from open biomass burning. Enhanced CO concentrations have been used previously to characterize the dispersion of biomass burning emissions over southern Africa (Mafusire et al., 2016). Therefore, the regional trans- port of CO and VOCs (and NOx to a lesser extent) associated with biomass burning occurring from June to September in Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability 15501 southern Africa can be considered an important source of sur- face O3 in continental South Africa (Fig. A5). 3.4.2 Stratospheric O3 Elevated levels of tropospheric O3 may also be caused by stratospheric intrusion of O3-rich air (Zhang et al., 2014; Par- rish et al., 2013; Lin et al., 2012), especially on certain days during late winter and spring when O3 is the highest on the South African Highveld (Thompson et al., 2014). However, the importance of the stratospheric source over continental South Africa has not yet been specifically addressed. The assessment of meteorological fields and air quality data at high-elevation sites is required to determine the downward transport of stratospheric O3. Alternatively, stratospheric O3 intrusions can be estimated through concurrent in situ mea- surements of ground-level O3, CO, and humidity since strato- spheric intrusions of O3 into the troposphere are character- ized by elevated levels of O3, high potential vorticity, low levels of CO, and low water vapour (Stauffer et al., 2017; Thompson et al., 2015, 2014). Thompson et al. (2015) de- fined low CO as 80 to 110 ppbv, while low RH is consid- ered < 15 %. In Fig. 7, the 95th percentile O3 levels (indica- tive of “high O3”) corresponding to low daily average CO concentrations (< 100 ppb) are presented together with the daily average RH. Only daytime data from 07:00 to 18:00 LT were considered in order to exclude the influence of night- time titration. From Fig. 7, it is evident that very few days complied with the criteria indicative of stratospheric O3 in- trusion, i.e. high O3, low CO, and low RH, which indicates a very small influence of stratospheric intrusion on surface O3 levels. However, it must be noted that the attempt in this study to relate surface O3 to stratospheric intrusions is a sim- plified qualitative assessment and more quantitative detec- tion methods should be applied to understand the influence of stratospheric intrusions on surface O3 for this region. 3.5 Insights into the O3 production regime The relationship among O3, NOx , and CO was used as an in- dicator to infer the O3 production regime at Welgegund, Bot- salano, and Marikana (no CO measurements were conducted at Elandsfontein as indicated above) since no continuous VOC measurements were conducted at each of these sites. However, as indicated in Sect. 2.4, a 2-year VOC dataset was available for Welgegund (Jaars et al., 2016, 2014), which was used to calculate the instantaneous production rate of O3 as a function of NO2 levels and VOC reactivity (Geddes et al., 2009; Murphy et al., 2006). 3.5.1 The relationship among NOx , CO, and O3 In Fig. 8, the correlations among O3, NOx , and CO con- centrations at Welgegund, Botsalano, and Marikana are pre- sented, which clearly indicate higher O3 concentrations as- sociated with increased CO levels, while O3 levels remain relatively constant (or decrease) with increasing NOx . The highest O3 concentrations occur for NOx levels below 10 ppb since the equilibrium between photochemical production of O3 and chemical removal of O3 shifts towards the former, i.e. greater O3 formation. In general, there seems to exist a marginal negative correlation between O3 and NOx (Fig. A6) at all four sites, which is a reflection of the photochemi- cal production of O3 from NO2 and the destruction of O3 through NOx titration. These correlations among NOx , CO, and O3 indicate that O3 production in continental South Africa is limited by CO (and VOCs) concentrations, i.e. VOC limited. This finding shows a strong correlation between O3 and CO and suggests that high O3 can be attributed to the oxida- tion of CO in the air masses; i.e. as long as there is a sufficient amount of NOx present in a region, CO serves to produce O3. Although NOx and VOCs are usually considered the main precursors in ground-level O3 formation, CO acts together with NOx and VOCs in the presence of sunlight to drive pho- tochemical O3 formation. According to Fig. 8, reducing CO emissions should result in a reduction in surface O3 and it is assumed that this response is analogous to that of VOCs. It is, however, not that simple since the ambient NOx and VOC concentrations are directly related to the instantaneous rate of production of O3 and not necessarily to the ambient O3 con- centration at a location, which is the result of chemistry, de- position, and transport that have occurred over several hours or a few days (Sillman, 1999). Notwithstanding the various factors contributing to increased surface O3 levels, the cor- relation between ambient CO and O3 is especially relevant given the low reactivity of CO with respect to •OH radicals compared to most VOCs, which implies that the oxidation of CO probably takes place over a timescale of several days. It seems that the role of CO is of major importance in tro- pospheric chemistry in this region, where sufficient NOx is present across continental South Africa and biogenic VOCs are relatively less abundant (Jaars et al., 2016), to fuel the O3 formation process. 3.5.2 Seasonal change in O3–precursors relationship Seasonal changes in the relationship between O3 and precur- sor species can be indicative of different sources of precursor species during different times of the year. In Fig. 9, the cor- relations between O3 levels and NOx and CO are presented for the different seasons, which indicate seasonal changes in the dependence of elevated O3 concentrations on these pre- cursors. The very high CO concentrations relative to NOx , i.e. high CO-to-NOx ratios, are associated with the high- est O3 concentrations, which are most pronounced (highest CO/NOx ratios) during winter and spring. This indicates that the winter and spring O3 maximum is primarily driven by in- creased peroxy radical production from CO and VOCs. The seasonal maximum in O3 concentration coincides with the maximum CO concentration at the background sites, while www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 15502 T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability Figure 7. Simultaneous measurements of O3 (daily 95th percentile), CO (daily average ppb), and RH (daily average) from 07:00 to 18:00 LT at Welgegund, Botsalano, and Marikana. the O3 peak occurs just after June–July when CO peaked at the polluted site Marikana (Fig. A5). This observed season- ality in O3 production signifies the importance of precursor species emissions from open biomass burning during winter and spring in this region, while household combustion for space heating and cooking is also an important source of O3 precursors, as previously discussed. The strong diurnal CO concentration patterns observed during winter at Marikana (Fig. A5) substantiate the influence of household combustion on CO levels, as indicated by Venter et al. (2012). 3.5.3 O3 production rate In Fig. 10, P (O3) as a function of VOC reactivity calculated from the available VOC dataset for Welgegund (Sect. 2.4) and NO2 concentrations is presented. O3 production at Wel- gegund during two field campaigns, specifically at 11:00 LT, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability 15503 Figure 8. Mean O3 concentration averaged for NOx and CO bins. Measurements were only taken from 11:00 to 17:00 LT when pho- tochemical production of O3 was at a maximum. Figure 9. Seasonal plots of the relationship among O3, NOx , and CO at Welgegund, Botsalano, and Marikana. was found to range between 0 and 10 ppbv h−1. The average P (O3) values over the 2011 to 2012 and the 2014 to 2015 campaigns combined were 3.0± 1.9 and 3.2± 3.0 ppbv h−1, respectively. The dashed black line in Fig. 10, called the ridge line, separates the NOx- and VOC-limited regimes. To the left of the ridge line is the NOx-limited regime, when O3 pro- duction increases with increasing NOx concentrations. The VOC-limited regime is to the right of the ridge line, when O3 production decreases with increasing NOx . According to the O3 production plot presented, approximately 40 % of the data are found in the VOC-limited regime area, which would Figure 10. Contour plot of instantaneous O3 production (P (O3)) at Welgegund using daytime (11:00 LT) grab sample measurements of VOCs and NO2. The blue dots represent the first campaign (2011– 2012), and the red dots indicate the second campaign (2014–2015). support the regional O3 analysis conducted for continental South Africa in this study. However, the O3 production plot for Welgegund transitions between NOx- and VOC-limited regimes, with Welgegund being in a NOx-limited production regime the majority of the time, especially when NOx con- centrations are very low (< 1 ppb). As indicated in Sect. 2.4, limitations to this analysis include limited VOC speciation data, as well as a single time-of-day grab sample. The O3 production rates can therefore only be inferred at 11:00 LT despite O3 concentrations peaking during the afternoon at Welgegund. Therefore, clean background air O3 production is most likely NOx limited (Tiitta et al., 2014), while large parts of the regional background of continental South Africa can be considered VOC limited. 3.6 Implications for air quality management 3.6.1 Ozone exceedances The South African National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) for O3 is an 8 h moving-average limit of 61 ppbv with 11 exceedances allowed annually (Government Gazette, 2009). Figure 11 shows the average number of days per month when this O3 standard limit was exceeded at the four measurement sites. It is evident that the daily 8 h O3 maxi- mum concentrations regularly exceeded the NAAQS thresh- old for O3 and the number of exceedances annually allowed at all the sites, including the most remote of the four sites, Botsalano. At the polluted locations of Marikana and Elands- fontein, the O3 exceedances peak early on in the dry season (June onwards), while at the background locations of Welge- gund and Botsalano, the highest numbers of exceedances oc- cur later in the dry season (August to November). These rela- www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 15504 T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability Figure 11. Monthly number of exceedances of the daily 8 h O3 maximum (i.e. highest value of all available 8 h moving averages in that day) above 61 ppbv at Welgegund, Botsalano, Marikana, and Elandsfontein. tively high numbers of O3 exceedances at all the sites (back- ground and industrial) highlight the regional O3 problem in South Africa, with background sites being impacted by the regional transport of O3 precursors from anthropogenic and biomass burning source regions. 3.6.2 O3 control strategies As indicated above (Sect. 3.4 and 3.5), O3 formation in the regions where Welgegund, Botsalano, and Marikana are lo- cated can be considered VOC limited, while the highly in- dustrialized region with high NOx emissions where Elands- fontein is located could also be considered VOC limited. Ru- ral remote regions are generally considered to be NOx lim- ited due to the availability of NOx and the impact of bio- genic VOCs (BVOCs) (Sillman, 1999). However, Jaars et al. (2016) indicated that BVOC concentrations at a savan- nah grassland were at least an order of magnitude lower compared to other regions in the world. Therefore, very low BVOC concentrations, together with high anthropogenic emissions of NOx in the interior of South Africa, result in VOC-limited conditions at background sites in continental South Africa. It is evident that reducing CO and VOC concentrations as- sociated with anthropogenic emissions, e.g. household com- bustion, vehicular emissions, and industries, would be the most efficient control strategy to reduce peak O3 concentra- tions in the interior of South Africa. It is also imperative to consider the seasonal variation in the CO and VOC source strength in managing O3 pollution in continental southern Africa. This study also revealed the significant contribution of biomass burning to O3 precursors in this region, which should also be considered when implementing O3 control strategies. However, since open biomass burning in south- ern Africa is of anthropogenic and natural origin, while O3 concentrations in continental South Africa are also influ- enced by trans-boundary transport of O3 precursors from open biomass burning occurring in other countries in south- ern Africa (as indicated above), it is more difficult to con- trol. Nevertheless, open biomass burning caused by anthro- pogenic practices (e.g. crop residue, pasture maintenance fires, opening burning of garbage) can be addressed. 4 Conclusions A spatial distribution map of O3 levels in the interior of South Africa indicated the regional O3 problem in conti- nental South Africa, which was signified by the regular ex- ceedance of the South African air quality standard limit. The seasonal and diurnal O3 patterns observed at the four sites in this study resembled typical trends for O3 in continental South Africa, with O3 concentrations peaking in late winter and early spring (see Zunckel et al., 2004), while daytime O3 corresponded to increased photochemical production. The seasonal O3 trends observed in continental southern Africa could mainly be attributed to the seasonal changes in emis- sions of O3 precursor species and local meteorological con- ditions. Increased O3 concentrations in winter at Welgegund, Marikana, and Elandsfontein reflected increased household combustion for space heating and the trapping of low-level pollutants near the surface. A spring maximum observed at all the sites was attributed to increased regional open biomass burning. Significantly higher O3 concentrations, which cor- responded with increased CO concentrations, were associ- ated with air masses passing over a region in southern Africa, where a large number of open biomass burning occurred from June to September. Therefore, the regional transport of CO associated with open biomass burning in southern Africa was considered a significant source of surface O3 in con- tinental South Africa. A very small contribution from the stratospheric intrusion of O3-rich air to surface O3 levels at the four sites was indicated. The relationship among O3, NOx , and CO at Welgegund, Botsalano, and Marikana indicated a strong correlation be- tween O3 and CO, while O3 levels remained relatively con- stant (or decreased) with increasing NOx . Although NOx and VOCs are usually considered to be the main precursors in ground-level O3 formation, CO can also drive photochemi- cal O3 formation. The seasonal changes in the relationship between O3 and precursors species also reflected the higher CO emissions associated with increased household combus- tion in winter and open biomass burning in late winter and spring. The calculation of the P (O3) from a 2-year VOC dataset at Welgegund indicated that at least 40 % of O3 pro- duction occurred in the VOC-limited regime. These results indicated that large parts in continental South Africa can be Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability 15505 considered VOC limited, which can be attributed to high an- thropogenic emissions of NOx in this region. It is, however, recommended that future studies should investigate more de- tailed relationships among NOx , CO, VOCs, and O3 through photochemical modelling analysis, while concurrent mea- surement of atmospheric VOCs and •OH would also con- tribute to the better understanding of surface O3 in this re- gion. In this paper, some new aspects of O3 for continental South Africa have been indicated, which must be taken into consideration when O3 mitigation strategies are de- ployed. Emissions of O3 precursor species associated with the concentrated location of industries in this area could be regulated, while CO and VOC emissions associated with household combustion and regional open biomass burning should also be targeted. However, emissions of O3 precursor species related to factors such as household combustion as- sociated with poor socio-economic circumstances and long- range transport provide a bigger challenge for regulators. Data availability. The data of this paper are available upon request to Pieter van Zyl (pieter.vanzyl@nwu.ac.za) or Johan Paul Beukes (paul.beukes@nwu.ac.za). www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 15506 T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability Appendix A Figure A1. Individual VOC reactivity time series. In the calculation of instantaneous O3 production (P (O3)), CO was treated as a VOC. Figure A2. Time series of monthly median O3 concentrations for each hour of the day at the four sites. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability 15507 Figure A3. Monthly averages of meteorological parameters at Welgegund to show typical seasonal patterns in continental South Africa. In the case of rainfall, the total monthly rainfall values are shown. www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 15508 T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability Figure A4. Seasonal and diurnal variation in NOx at Welgegund, Botsalano, Marikana, and Elandsfontein (median values of NOx concen- tration were used). Figure A5. Seasonal and diurnal variation in CO at Welgegund, Botsalano, and Marikana (median values of CO concentration were used). Note that CO was not measured at Elandsfontein. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability 15509 Figure A6. Scatter plots of O3 vs. NOx for daytime (09:00 to 16:52 LT), and night-time (17:00 to 08:52 LT) at Welgegund, Botsalano, Marikana, and Elandsfontein. The correlation coefficient (r) has a significance level of p < 10−10, which means that r is statistically signif- icant (p < 0.01). Figure A7. Time series of monthly median NOx concentrations for each hour of the day at the four sites. www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 15510 T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability Figure A8. Time series of monthly median CO concentrations for each hour of the day at the four sites. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15491–15514, 2018 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/15491/2018/ T. L. Laban et al.: Seasonal influences on surface ozone variability 15511 Author contributions. TLL, PGvZ, and JPB were the main investi- gators in this study. PGvZ and JPB were project leaders of the study and wrote the manuscript. TLL conducted this study as part of her PhD degree and performed most of the data analysis. PGvZ, JPB, and AMT were study leaders for the PhD. VV assisted with data analyses and made conceptual contributions. KJ conducted volatile organic carbon measurements, while NBD modelled instantaneous ozone production rate. MJ assisted with data collection. AMT, MK, and LL made conceptual contributions. Competing interests. The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest. Disclaimer. Opinions expressed and conclusions arrived at are those of the authors and are not necessarily to be attributed to the National Research Foundation (NRF). Acknowledgements. The financial assistance of the National Research Foundation (NRF) towards this research is hereby ac- knowledged. We thank the Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report (TOAR) initiative for providing the surface ozone data used in this publication. The authors are also grateful to Eskom for supplying the Elandsfontein data. Thanks are also due to Dirk Cilliers from the NWU for the GIS assistance. Ville Vakkari is a beneficiary of an AXA Research Fund postdoctoral grant. This work was partly funded by the Academy of Finland Centre of Excellence program (grant no. 272041). 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